Not BAD, but not that good

8:15 AM, Aug 11, 2012   |    comments
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I imagine my title phrase"Eh...not bad, but not that good" has rolled off the lips of many a girl when they see me walk into a bar. Today is a 5 on the universal 1-10 rating scale of life, weather, and attractiveness. It's not horrible, it's not fantastic, it's just "so-so","medium","blah".

The heaviest batch of rain moved through overnight, leaving the radar picture surprisingly dry this morning. That's a good sign, no doubt, but our overall weather pattern still leads me to believe showers and thunderstorms will redevelop through the day. There is an upper level low WAY west of us over Detroit, sitting, spinning and acting to advect showers and thunderstorms from the Mid Atlantic into New England. So after a mid-day break with peeks of sunshine look for more shower activity to head our way later this afternoon.

Today: Morning clouds and fog will gradually burn off and reveal some late morning to early afternoon sunshine. It will be sticky and hazy in spots with the best chance of extended sunshine over the mountains and into southern Maine. The spot likely to see the LEAST sunshine will be Downeast Maine as last night's warm front remains stalled over them. By later this afternoon a cold front will approach and begin sparking some fairly widespread showers and thunderstorms. This activity will push from southwest to northeast through the late afternoon and into the evening. Some thunderstorms will contain heavy downpours as a value we call "Precipitable Water" (basically the depth of water in an air column if it were to all fall as rain) is quite high in today's atmosphere. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s in most areas with a few sneaky low 80s possible over southern Maine.

Tonight: Shower and thunderstorm activity will be fairly widespread through the first half of the evening so if you are heading outside; plan for a shower. It appears as though some drier air will work into Maine by midnight so the thunderstorms should shut off at that point. Another sticky, foggy night otherwise with lows in the mid 60s.

Sunday: I hate this forecast...quite a bit. The cold front will have pushed slightly offshore, which is a good thing. HOWEVER the latest computer models all agree on developing a low pressure system along the southern end of the front and lifting it into the Gulf of Maine by Sunday afternoon. I have my doubts about how far the precipitation shield will extend from the center of the low so I'm going to play the middle right now. The middle: Partly cloudy in the morning with heavy showers and thunderstorms along the coastline by the afternoon. I think there could be some heavy downpours in the rain bands tomorrow afternoon as they push onshore from east to west. This is a tough one though, hopefully the low moves a little further east and the chance of showers decreases. But, I don't like our odds.

On Monday, sunshine moves back in just in time for many of us to sit in a cubicle and look at it. The nice weather continues into Tuesday before showers return to the forecast for Wednesday.

Overall our pattern looks "troughy" and unsettled through next weekend.

Ugh, spell check keeps trying to change "troughy" into "trophy." 1) Troughy isn't a real word so just let it go 2) trophy is what I married.

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