The holiday season came to an official end at the Carson household today as my wife and I dragged our dead Christmas tree outside on a 9x12 plastic tarp and dumped it on the sidewalk. It looked like a balsam fir Mob hit.
The holiday season may be over, but winter is just beginning by most statistical benchmarks. Old Man Winter will take it easy on us over the next 7 days though, with no major snow and a late week thaw on tap.
Tonight: A cold front will be swinging through tonight and the radar returns to our west show a decent little area of light snow over Vermont and upstate New York. As a result look for periods of light snow to develop from west to east. Most of the activity will be spotty and inconsistent, but the mountains may squeeze out a few inches of accumulation as the cold front banks some extra moisture up against the higher terrain. Even across the interior I can't rule out isolated 1" accumulations by morning. Certainly not a big deal, but worth noting you could see more than just a dusting. Otherwise look for mostly cloudy skies and lows between 10 and 20 F.
Monday: A few early morning snow showers are possible as the cold front pushes offshore but clearing will take place rapidly placing the vast majority of the state in sunshine by 10 AM. Don't let the sun fool you, however, it will be cold. Temperatures will stay in the teens in the mountains and across northern Maine with highs in the mid 20s likely even along the coastline. (That's about 6-7 F below average). This will be the last truly cold day for a while though...
Our pattern will slowly transition from one dominated by the cold Polar jet stream to a "ridged out" setup that allows warmer air to invade the eastern seaboard as the jet stream pushes to the north of New England.
The change will be gradual with highs reaching near 40 F on Tuesday, low 40s on Wednesday and Thursday and then possibly near 50 F by next weekend. (I'm not ready to lock down the 50 F yet but it's looking like a blowtorch at the mid levels of the atmosphere)
Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday should feature a good deal of sunshine with only a weak little disturbance moving through Wednesday night producing a few overnight flurries.
Our next large storm system is Friday as a low spins in from the southwest. This is rain all the way. The freezing line will be about 400 miles into Canada.
As I mentioned before, we reach the apex of our warm up on Saturday/Sunday. A sharp cold front should squash our mild weather by Sunday night.
If you like mild weather, enjoy this week. If you like snow, go play in the mountains...I think they have about a 1,275" base.