Cold but quiet; warm up next week

1:08 PM, Jan 3, 2013   |    comments
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I tweeted a stat the other day (@keithcarsonWCSH) (#shamelessselfpromotion), that Portland has received more snow so far this winter than it did ALL last winter.

That's a true statement of course, but admittedly it's a bit of a technicality. Winter, as defined by the weather world, is Dec. 1st through March 1st. Now if you recall, last year we had "Snowtober" and then a storm in March. As a result,  we had about 20" of snow that wasn't counted towards the "winter total." So all said and done ,we've still shoveled less so far this year than we did last year.

Then again, it's only January 3rd...and I'm loading up on the "over" for this season when compared to last.

Rest of Today: The story in the near term isn't the snow, of course, it's the cold. Temperatures are stuck in the single digits over western Maine, between 13-16 F across the interior and below 20 even along the coastline. These readings won't break any records; but it's certainly unusually cold even for January with most spots running about 15 F below average. Sunshine has been plentiful along the coast so far today but clouds are building in the mountains so most of us will end up mostly cloudy by the late afternoon.

Tonight: Cold but not AS cold as Wednesday night. Skies should be partly to mostly cloudy so that will insulate the state a bit more. Look for readings in the -5 F in the mountains, more like 0-10 F across the interior and 10-15 F along the coastline. Most of us will be dry and quiet but I can't rule out some mountain snow showers and flurries as a weak upper level disturbance approaches.

Friday: That upper level disturbance will pull through during the day on Friday so look for increased cloud cover when compared to Thursday and some snow shower activity in the mountains. The higher terrain may actually pick up a few inches of accumulation as the snow showers pick up to squalls during the afternoon. Highs will be more seasonable this time around, in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Most of us will be back to full sunshine for Saturday with temperatures in the mid 20s to around 30 F.

Some more widespread snow shower activity is possible on Sunday, but overall no big storms in the forecast as our pattern remains dominated by the weaker polar jet stream and small disturbances from Canada. (Good band name: "The Small Disturbances from Canada")

The mid range models are encouraging for those of us who don't like the brutal cold (AKA normal humans), they show an absolute blow torch (nerd slang for super warm air) at the mid levels of the atmosphere for next Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday. It should be enough to get us into the low 40s at least...that'll be a relative heat wave.

Ok I'm out of here for now.




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