I like to think I'm a man who learns from his past mistakes. (Mistakes I repeat often: 1) "I'll just get the baked potato instead of fries...it's the same thing" 2) "I know the size chart says medium but I'll look more buff in a small") So when the computer models try to push a cold front offshore quickly during the late evening/early morning hours "round these parts", I take a step back and evaluate the likelihood of that scenario. Its been my experience that cold fronts are often timed 3-6 hours too fast when it comes to their eastward progress, especially near the Midcoast and Downeast...and I'm applying that rule to tomorrow's forecast. Is there a chance the day turns out a bit nicer than forecast? Sure, but I'm willing to live with that.
Rest of today: Mostly sunny and pleasant. Inland locations push into the low 80s while the coastline stays in the 70s.
Tonight: Clear skies to start but gradually increasing clouds from west to east after midnight mean the entire state ends up mostly cloudy by the morning. There is the slight chance for a LATE shower (4 AM) over the mountains but most of us stay dry. Low temperatures are kept up a bit by the increasing clouds, staying in the 50s and low 60s.
Saturday: A cold front begins moving through. It's a weak front so the result will be just scattered showers and abundant cloud cover. As I previously reasoned, I think the front will stall out a bit over the coastline so look for the following timeline based on location: Southern Maine: Showers until 11 AM, becoming sunny after that. Midcoast: Showers until 1 PM, becoming sunny after that. Downeast: Showers through most of the day, late glimpses of sunshine. Temperatures stay in the 60s in most spots with some low 70s possible over southern Maine as skies clear earlier.
Sunday: High pressure builds in behind the front, giving us a dry day. It will be mostly sunny but quite cool with highs staying in the mid 60s even over southern Maine. Winds could be a bit gusty as well, adding to the "fall feeling." (P.S. Patriots by 30, write it down)
Another nice day on Monday with slightly warmer temperatures in the upper 60s/low 70s and continued mostly sunny skies.
A juiced up (not THAT kind of juiced) cold front will move in by Tuesday afternoon and indications are that it will be able to tap into some tropical moisture and give us a period of heavy rain from late Tuesday through early Wednesday morning. I'll watch this for you as we get closer but there seems to be a decent chance for widespread rainfall in the 2-3" range in about a 12 hour period.
Ok I'm out for now...you'll see more of my face tonight since I'm working for Mr. Cupo (or Coop-A-Loop as I like to call him).